31/12/2020

Drink Australian wine against PRC

Originally published by the Taipei Times on 31/12/2020.

For many years, the UK stood blissfully unaware of the threat posed by the People’s Republic of China (PRC). In fact, some of our politicians, former British prime minister David Cameron chief among them, appeared positively nonchalant about the matter.

Those of us raising concerns were in the minority. While the British public on the whole remained indifferent.

However, this time last year, one thing which united all Britons was our total ignorance of the oncoming COVID-19 crisis. We sure know all about it now — and as a consequence, we all appear a little more China-savvy too.

READ FULL ARTICLE HERE.

15/12/2020

China’s grey-zone warfare against Taiwan should concern Boris as well as Biden

Originally published by CapX on 16/12/2020.

Following her landslide re-election in January, Taiwan’s President Tsai Ing-wen could be forgiven for dropping her trademark conciliatory tone towards China. After all, Beijing had just spent the past four years poaching her country’s few remaining formal diplomatic allies and pushing it out of international organisations including as, we all too sadly know, the World Health Organisation.

Still Tsai continues to handle cross-strait relations with the utmost caution. In October, to mark Taiwan’s national day, Tsai delivered another conciliatory speech calling for “meaningful dialogue”. Beijing, however, were in no mood for talking. That weekend, China’s air, navy and ground forces simulated an attack on the island and plastered the fiery footage all over state broadcasters.

Aggression of this kind is nothing new and it should be stressed an invasion is not imminent. Military drills, incursions into Taiwan’s air and sea space, as well as the firing of rockets across the strait have frequently been used by Beijing to discourage Taiwan from steps towards formal independence. Yet, as a recent Reuter’s investigation highlights, the frequency of China’s military manoeuvres against the island has become alarming.

READ FULL ARTICLE HERE.

27/11/2020

Vince Cable: A Liberal Democrat in thrall to Beijing’s illiberal dictatorship

Originally published by the Hong Kong Free Press on 28/11/2020.

There is a new book about the rise of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). Can you guess the colour of its cover?

Bright red books have been understandably mocked by the China-watcher community. Yet we should cut the authors some slack as this is most certainly the publishers’ decision. They know how to market a book which appeals to the masses, no matter what the sneering specialists might say.

I feel somewhat relieved to discover that volumes bound in deep red are a minority amongst my small China collection, and those that do opt for this cliché colouring, Odd Arne Westad’s Restless Empire and Jonathan Fenby’s Tiger Head, Snake Tails to mention just two, are both thoroughly well researched and sound.

The new book by the former leader of the British Liberal Democrat (Lib Dem) party, and former Business Secretary, Sir Vince Cable takes this colouring to a whole new level. The cover of China: Engage! Avoid the New Cold War features a colossal red wave hurtling towards the West’s ladies of liberty. Striking enough, don’t you think?

READ FULL ARTICLE HERE.

11/11/2020

How new US president can lead the free world in the pushback against China

Originally published by the Hong Kong Free Press on 12/11/2020.

We got there eventually. Joe Biden will be the next president of the United States. Despite a nail-biting election night, last Saturday Pennsylvania put the former-Vice President into the White House.

Of course, by Friday we had figured that Biden would, in all likelihood, be the 46th President. Yet in order to avoid the ire of the tantrum throwing wannabe-tyrant currently occupying the Oval Office, the networks, the Democrats, and leaders all around the free world waited patiently. Not that this stopped the outgoing President, Donald Trump, from screaming foul play.

“Outgoing” – what a welcome prefix to ”President Donald Trump.” Although many of us will have to wait until this becomes “former President” before we can sleep easy. I say many because outside of America there is a bipartisan anti-Trump consensus. Even many Conservative parliamentarians here in Britain would have enthusiastically voted for the Biden-Harris ticket (what that says about the old Tory Party, or rather the US Democrats, I’ll leave to you).

READ FULL ARTICLE HERE.

22/10/2020

At last, the UK and US see eye-to-eye on the danger posed by China

Originally published by the Hong Kong Free Press on 23/10/2021.

During the mid-19th century the United States prided itself on its self-professed peaceful posture towards China. Greater economic ties, Washington maintained, would only be achieved through diplomacy.

That is after the Europeans had, using not so peaceful methods, imposed extraordinarily strict terms on the Chinese. In what has been dubbed “jackal diplomacy”, then and only then would the Americans approach the weakened Qing dynasty asking for equal terms.

Not only did the Treaty of Tianjin of 1858 contain some of the most egregious British demands on the Chinese, from preferential tax and trade policies to the establishment of treaty ports, its enforcement revealed the superficiality of America’s fence-sitting.

In 1859, in an effort to ensure compliance with the treaty, the British once again assaulted the Taku forts. However, this time a reinforced Qing army beat them back. Coming to the aid of the embattled Royal Navy, despite his country’s declared neutrality, was American naval commander Josiah Tattnall. The British were towed to safety and their injured attended to. In justifying his actions Tattnall proclaimed: “Blood is thicker than water.”

READ FULL ARTICLE HERE.

30/05/2020

The world should refuse to recognise Beijing’s direct rule over Hong Kong

Originally published by the Hong Kong Free Press on 31/05/2020.

“Scenario One: riots in West Berlin, buildings in flames, the East German fire brigade crosses the border to help. Would you press the button? The East German police come with them. The button? Then some troops! More troops, just for riot control they say. Then the East German troops are replaced by Russian troops … Button? When the Russian troops won’t go they are invited to stay to support the civilian administration, the civilian administration closes roads and Tempelhof Airport. Now you press the button?”

Salami tactics, so succinctly described here by Yes, Prime Minister, are not the mere product of comic writers. Devastatingly deployed by Hungarian Communist leader Mátyás Rákosi, and other Soviet stooges they enabled Moscow to consolidate their grip over Eastern Europe after the Second World War.

Taking control one piece at a time has its advantages. The slow dividing and subtle subsuming of the opposition results in them being left holding half a stick by the time they have clocked on to what is happening. Even then, after they have realised what is one more thin slice? Or another? Or another? Until there is no stick at all.

Clearly the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) have taken notes. If not from the tribulations of the Right Honorable Jim Hacker then at least their Stalinist forebears. Just look at Hong Kong today.

READ FULL ARTICLE HERE.

18/03/2020

The UK should abandon Huawei

Originally published by the Taipei Times on 18/03/2020.

Since 2016, Britain has been blindsighted by Brexit. The government, politicians and the media have been unable to speak of little else. Britons have all been bleating on about their future relationship with the EU. That has all changed. British Prime Minister Boris Johnson, fresh from a sensational election victory, has delivered on his campaign promise to get Brexit done.

The nation can divert its gaze, if only temporarily, from Brussels to Beijing. In the post-Brexit world, the conventional wisdom has been that London would turbo-charge its efforts to forge a tight economic partnership with the People’s Republic of China (PRC).

This would not be an unreasonable assumption to make. The desire to establish a “golden era” in relations between the two countries precedes the decision to leave the EU. Back in 2015, then-British chancellor of the exchequer George Osborne, the architect of this lofty tagline, vowed to “make Britain China’s best partner in the West.”

READ FULL ARTICLE HERE.

08/02/2020

Impractical and dangerous – a so-called ‘Peace Pledge’ would drive Great Britain into a diplomatic purdah

Originally published by LabourUncut on 08/02/2020.

On 3 October 1957, Aneurin Bevan, champion of the Labour Left, delivered a thumping blow to his loyal followers in an about-face conference speech opposing unilateral nuclear disarmament. His words attacking Resolution 24 have become legendary. To disarm, he warned attendees, would be like “sending a British Foreign Secretary … naked into the conference chamber”.

Bevan’s points in favour of maintaining an independent nuclear deterrent remain as true today as they did in the early Cold War. His wider point that foreign and defence policy cannot be dictated by party members still stands too.

Jeremy Corbyn ignored these wise words when he polled members in late-2015 on extending airstrikes into Syria against Islamic State. Now, deputy leadership contender Richard Burgon wants to emulate with a so-called ‘Peace Pledge’ which would force a future Labour government to obtain the consent of members, via a referendum or conference vote, before using military force abroad.

READ FULL ARTICLE HERE.